Transport groups warn of unprecedented congestion as commuters, shoppers, and holidaymakers travel simultaneously
This Friday, the UK will experience significant traffic on its roads and at airports as the Christmas rush hits its peak, with a record number of people expected to take to the skies.
Traffic experts are predicting roads to be extremely busy, with the heaviest travel anticipated on Saturday and Christmas Eve. They note that the combination of daily commutes, shopping excursions, and holiday getaways will likely make Friday the most crowded day on the roads.
The Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) also expects flight departures to surge on Friday, marking the busiest Christmas season for air travel on record.
The AA reports that roads will be shared by an estimated 24.4 million vehicles on Friday. The organization shared that 72% of its members are planning to travel for work or leisure that day and advises drivers to plan their routes in advance and allow additional time for travel. Shaun Jones, an AA mechanic and spokesperson, humorously remarked, “It’s beginning to look a lot like traffic.”
According to a survey by the RAC, the majority of travelers planning a full Christmas getaway will do so on the following day or Christmas Eve, with predictions of over 4 million leisure car journeys on each of these days.
The RAC expects this to be the busiest period for holiday travel since they began keeping records.
Areas likely to experience heavy traffic include the M25 clockwise on the west side of London, the M6 northbound around Birmingham, the M1 northbound past Leicester, and much of the M60 clockwise.
Traffic congestion may be worsened by rail engineering works scheduled later in the season, which will see major lines and stations closed.
Rail passengers traveling during the Christmas period and into the New Year are advised to plan ahead as engineering works could lead to extended delays, with some needing to complete their journeys via rail replacement buses.
Significant disruptions are expected on sections of the West Coast main line, affecting intercity journeys between major cities including London, Birmingham, Manchester, Liverpool, and Scotland. Rail replacement services will be operating between Milton Keynes and Rugby, and some travelers may have to reroute via Sheffield on the Midland main line.
The engineering works will impact journeys to and from London Euston from 27 December to 4 January, as well as services between Scotland and north-west England from 1-14 January.
Additional works after Christmas will halt trains running between Leeds and York until 2 January, and between Cambridge and Stansted airport until 5 January.
London Waterloo, one of the busiest stations in the UK, will be closed until 28 December and will operate a reduced service until 4 January, while Liverpool Street will see a halt to mainline trains until New Year’s Day.
No service will be available on the Dunbartonshire line from Glasgow Queen Street to Crianlarich until 2 January.
Network Rail has stated that about 95% of the UK’s rail network will be unaffected by these works.
National Express, the UK’s largest scheduled coach operator, is adding 45,000 seats over the holiday period to accommodate increased demand, including over 10,000 seats on routes between the north-west and London, as rail works continue.
The CAA reports that approximately 460,000 people are expected to fly from UK airports on Friday, with around 3 million outbound passengers anticipated over the peak festive period. About 160,000 passengers are expected to fly on Christmas Day, which is 13% more than last year and 72% more than in 2015. Total passenger numbers for December are forecasted to surpass the record 22 million set in 2024.
The Port of Dover estimates nearly 30,000 cars will embark on outbound sailings during the festive period, with traffic peaking between 6am and 1pm from Friday to Sunday.
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